Wednesday, June 17, 2020

ZZZ... Take a Chance On These Sleepers (QB's and TE's)

QB's: Baker Mayfield and Teddy Bridgewater


Baker Mayfield: Baker Mayfield is my favorite quarterback steal of this draft, he was drafted number one overall in 2018 for a reason, he has some real talent. He is currently being drafted as the 14th QB which is around the 11th round. In the early teens or late single digits, I believe it's a good pick. He has great surrounding talent in OBJ, Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, Austin Hooper, and Rashard Higgins. His offensive line just improved tremendously, adding Jedrick Wills Jr. and Jack Conklin to hold down the tackle spots. Plus, his coaching has gone under massive improvements moving on from Freddie Kitchens to Kevin Stefanski. Mayfield will be going into his 3rd season at the age of 25. I expect the Browns to go under a lot of improvement this season and they will be led by Baker who is set to throw for about 4,000 yards 25 or more TD's and can probably lower his interception rate due to more time in the pocket and less scrambling and being rushed. I believe that Baker is set to take off this season, his team has now put him in the best position to have a good season. If you wait on a QB and end up in the 10th round with Mayfield available, I say pull the trigger. 

Teddy Bridgewater: Teddy Bridgewater is being so under-drafted that it's scary. He is being drafted as the consensus 25th QB. He is the full-time starter in Carolina and people seem to be glossing right over that fact. In the 5 games that he started in for New Orleans last season he threw for 1,205 yards, 9 TD's, 2 INT's, and had a QB rating around 100. His talent surrounding him in Carolina is great as well, he has CMC, DJ Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Robby Anderson. Carolina is about to have a terrible defense so to make up for that they are going to have to throw often, which gives Teddy more opportunities to get his numbers up and help your fantasy team, they also have the second easiest schedule of defenses. He isn't being drafted in most leagues, so you could probably pick him up on waivers or free agency after your draft. But if you're a player who likes to have a second quarterback or you waited so long that you have a risky piece, take a chance on Teddy. He is about to have a solid year and his dump-offs are about to be even better with the assistance of CMC. 


TE's: Rob Gronkowski and Hayden Hurst

(Let me start this off by saying, if you don't draft the top 3 TE's being Travis Kelce, George Kittle, and then a tier below Mark Andrews, then most of the TE's will end up having the same numbers or close to the same. When looking at sleeper TE's I'm looking at where they're being drafted and if they have a good chance of ending up higher.)

Rob Gronkowski: Gronk is back baby. I don't think I have to explain about the possible explosion coming in the Bucs Offense but man oh man they're gonna be something special. Plus, with the short offseason and not much time to practice with his new teammates you have to believe that Tom Brady is about to find his good buddy Gronk more often than normal. Gronk has never needed that many receptions to be effective as his career high is just 90. Expect Gronk to fall in the range of 50-70 receptions and 6-10 TD's. I'm guessing he'll fall into the top-10 range probably ahead of Jared Cook, Hunter Henry, and Tyler Higbee. He is currently being drafted as the 10th TE, around the 9th round. Gronk will be a top TE this season. If he's there in the 9th or 10th round, draft him. But don't be distracted by the big name, make sure you don't draft him way early just because of the big name. If he's gone by then, move on and draft the next best guy TE's points aren't that different when you get into this section of them.

Hayden Hurst: Hayden Hurst is probably the Mark Andrews of this year's draft, which is funny as he was Mark Andrews back-up last year. Hurst is a player full of talent, he runs a 4.67 which is fast for a TE. The Falcons saw some promise in him, they traded a second-round pick to get their hands on him. Another addition to the argument of drafting Hurst is that usually a large amount of targets really makes a successful TE, and man the Falcons love to use a TE, we can see in the use of Austin Hooper last year, and they are one of the highest percentage passing offenses in the league. Even though Hurst's numbers last year of 30 receptions, 349 yards, and 2 TD's is pretty low his target rate is about to increase ten-fold. TE's are a position you want to wait on as the points are so similar after the top 3. I'm trying to get all stocks of Hayden Hurst in every one of my leagues and I suggest you do too. He's about to have a great year with Matt Ryan and is finally full-time starter. 

 

By: Trevor Junt

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